empty
 
 
05.02.2025 05:03 AM
EUR/USD Forecast for February 5, 2025

Yesterday's data on factory orders and job openings in the U.S. allowed the euro to not only close the gap from Monday but also to support strong resistance levels, suggesting potential medium-term growth. Factory orders in December declined by 0.9% (forecast: -0.7%), while the number of job openings dropped from 8.156 million to 7.600 million, against expectations of 8.010 million. These figures raise concerns ahead of Friday's crucial labor market data.

This image is no longer relevant

If the upcoming data proves weak, the price could rise above the intersection of trendlines on the weekly chart, and continue its ascent toward the range of 1.0696 to 1.0778—historically significant highs indicated on the chart. The 1.0696 level aligns with the 50% retracement of the entire downward movement since September of last year.

This image is no longer relevant

On the daily chart, the price has moved above the balance indicator line, and the Marlin oscillator has returned to positive territory. The first target for growth in this alternative scenario is 1.0458, followed by 1.0520.

However, the primary bearish scenario has not been invalidated. For a bullish confirmation, the current week must close above the trendlines, meaning above current prices. This outcome depends on the market's reaction to Friday's labor data. There remains a high likelihood of the price falling back below 1.0320, which is under the MACD line on the daily chart.

This image is no longer relevant

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is rising in positive territory, but the balance line and the MACD line at 1.0428 pose obstacles to reaching the 1.0458 target. This suggests a potential price reversal, leading to a drop below 1.0350, either from current levels or from 1.0428. Overall, the price is entering a period of uncertainty that may persist until Friday evening.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In February we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback